Modi’s Victory – A Pyrrhic Scenario

Narendra Modi

Narendra Modi

A few stray thoughts, some point of views………and a pessimistic observation.

The victory of Modi is a  foregone conclusion. The issue of debate is only the margin of victory, its implications for the nation in general and Gujarat in particular. I present here the future in simple terms without loading my arguments with statistical data.

 

A possible scenario:

If Modi wins big the Muslim minority in Gujarat (save the already rich trading Muslim communities which are exceptions) would be further pushed into oblivion. It would find life difficult and often miserable for itself. Helplessness and frustration would force it to resign to fate. Time to time Modi would throw some odds and bits before them for RSS propaganda and public consumption. But, from now onwards, they have to struggle much harder for their survival. In past Congress has done nothing for Indian Muslims  except lip service. A fleeting remark about their pathetic plight in P.M. Manmohan Singh’s address was all that it could do for them. Congress failed to take up a principled stand in Gujarat. This party wants people like Modi to remain vibrant. It makes easier for Congress to project itself as the protector of minorities. Ironically, Congress would remain a mute spectator while  RSS would force apartheid in the states where it rules. Indian National Congress has destroyed our economy, our language, our culture and our identity. New circumstances  would put the minorities between the devil and deep sea. The Urdu poet has said:

“Na tarapne ki ijazat hai na faryad ki hai,
ghut ke mar jayen yeh marzi mere sayyad ki hai.”

December 20 is also going to change the internal equations of BJP and the Saffron House for ever. A big electoral victory would catapult Modi into the central stage of Bharat. Modi would become the supreme leader. BJP and its leaders would be compelled to act as subservient to Modi’s dictates. The present cadre of leadership would have no control over the developing situations.

Undoubtedly, his towering personality has made him the pivot of every activity in Gujarat. He is able to attract the powerful rich investors, considerable middle class, media and film stars to bolster his aspirations and establish him as an undisputed leader. He is unstoppable. Consequently, RSS would no longer be in the driving seat. He would play politics on his own terms which is something unusual and contrary to RSS history and discipline. His march towards Delhi would begin on Dec 20, 2012.

Now, here is the rest of the story.

Mulayam, Mamta and Maya would find it difficult to opt for Modi as they also need the Muslim votes for their survival. With Modi at the helm of affairs, BJP would find it difficult to forge new alliances.

With the departure of Mr. Yedurappa from Karnataka BJP, Saffron Brigade has lost a powerful leader who had opened accounts of BJP in South India. Karnataka is about to slip from its stronghold. The results of Hills  do not augur well for BJP.  Defeat in Hills is almost certain as its victory in Gujarat. Mr. Gadkari, the present president of BJP has effectively become a liability for the party. The longer he sits at the top the more BJP is going to lose face.

The convincing victory of Modi would leave BJP with  no choice but to present him as the BJP’s Prime Ministrial  candidate. And lo ! here comes the Guardian’s knot. Nitish Kumar will never accept Modi. He finds himself a suitable candidate for the prime minister chair. Mr. Nitish is obviously more acceptable to  coalition partners even now. Mulayam, Mamta and Maya would find it difficult to opt for Modi as they also need the Muslim votes for their survival. With Modi at the helm of affairs, BJP would find it difficult to forge new alliances. The cultivation of new relationships would be an uphill task as the choice is limited. The time is running out.

Ultimately, the victory of Narendra Modi in Gujarat would be a Waterloo for BJP ambitions in Delhi.

Naim Naqvi

Naim Naqvi

Did his graduation in Science discipline from AMU in 1972-73. He was Secretary of University Ali Society in 1970 and M.M. Hall Literary Society in early 70 's and member of Tayyabji Literary Society. Did his Diploma in Bakery Administration from HTT College Oxford Street London in 1987. Worked with National Herald - Delhi, Blitz - Bombay as Trainee Journalist and in Production Department with 'Naya Sansar Pictures' of Khwaja Ahmed Abbas at Bombay in early 70's. Traveled for study and training purposes to Germany, U.K., Switzerland, France, Dubai, Oman, AbuDhabi, Bahrain and Philepines.

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Amitabh Bachchan: From Allahabad to Ahmedabad

Amitabh Bachchan

Amitabh Bachchan

Amitabh Bachchan might be one of the greatest cine idol of this country but he is an opportunist par excellence; and there can’t be two views on this. His recent showers of praise at the Gujrat state and its history-sheeted chief minister is an absolute proof of my statement. Today I felt sorry for my prayers when he had met an accident while shooting for the film “Coolie”.

I couldn’t believe my eyes and ears when Big B told mediapersons, “There are lots of good things in Gujarat which should be promoted. I am ready to give my voice and face for the promotion of Gujarat tourism.” On the day Samajwadi Party’s national general secretary Amar Singh resigned from all party posts, Bachchan, who is his friend and Uttar Pradesh’s former brand ambassador, said he was not aware of Singh’s resignation. Earlier, Bachchan gifted Modi a copy of ‘Madhushala’ (A tavern), a collection of quatrains by his late father Harivansh Rai Bachchan. Modi thanked Bachchan for his offer to promote Gujarat tourism and said Hindi films were a major influence on Indian society. Calling Bachchan the “Mahanayak” of this phenomenon, Modi said, “I myself am influenced by Bachchan, after all I am a common man”. Big B, clad in black Jodhpuris, was very diplomatic when media asked him, “Do you think Modi is Big B of politics?” He said, “I can’t compare myself with Modi. Inke baare main kya bolu. (what can I say about this man )” which left Modi blushing. “He is doing a good job as a chief minister in Gujarat. His efforts are commendable,” he said.

His cowardice turnaround and betrayal to Hindi Bhashis in Mumbai and the nation when caught in the claws of MNS is still fresh in public memory.
Do I need to remind what Atal Bihari Vajpaye had advised to Modi when he had visited Gujrat? Did he hear about the book ‘The Clash Within” written by Prof Martha C. Nussbaum. She teaches philosophy and law at the University of Chicago. Her most recent book is Hiding from Humanity: Disgust, Shame, and the Law. What did she write about Modi and his governement would put to shame to our whole civilized society.

That he is a thankless man is obvious from the fact that he had rarely ever mentioned his greatest benefactor Khwaja Ahemd Abbas who gave him the first break in ‘Saat Hindustani’. What did he do for Comedian Mehmood when he was down at his luck in his last days? Mehmood was the one who gave him a commercial break in ‘Bombay to Goa’.
He encashed the public support for the political benefit of Amar Singh and Mulayam Singh. Their reign was one of the most undemocratic, parochial, casteist, corrupt in the state history. They pushed his wife up and she became the Member of Parliament. His whole family got the highest cultural award from the UP government. Many even today laugh at the award to his son.

Amitabh did great injustice to his state by promoting a product (SP the political party) . It was a disservice to his motherland by befooling gullible public. The product of Amitabh was based on failure of law and order, belief in creating social friction, promotion of crude casteism.
Some may say that the closeness of Amitabh with Samajwadi Party which was politically powerful at that time in U.P. as compared to Congress was an attempt to give a befitting reply to Sonia Gandhi. Sonia on the other hand has been able to maintain her dignity in the whole controversy.

Today he is offering to support and sell Modi who had never ever shed one tear or expressed his sympathy for the hapless victims of Gujrat riots who were also innocent Indians. Whom Amitabh thinks he would fool ?

Naim Naqvi

Naim Naqvi

Did his graduation in Science discipline from AMU in 1972-73. He was Secretary of University Ali Society in 1970 and M.M. Hall Literary Society in early 70 's and member of Tayyabji Literary Society. Did his Diploma in Bakery Administration from HTT College Oxford Street London in 1987. Worked with National Herald - Delhi, Blitz - Bombay as Trainee Journalist and in Production Department with 'Naya Sansar Pictures' of Khwaja Ahmed Abbas at Bombay in early 70's. Traveled for study and training purposes to Germany, U.K., Switzerland, France, Dubai, Oman, AbuDhabi, Bahrain and Philepines.

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